Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✓ (21.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +27 (81-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Acker | 33 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Perryman | 27 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Mills | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Ames | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Peyton | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| B. Lampley | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Nelson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Bass | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Adler | 12 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Newell | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Kent | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. DeShone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Payne | 29 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Ingram | 27 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| A. Currie | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Howell | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Young | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Amos | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Kent | 20 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| F. Valencia | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Villegas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Charalambous | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter