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Boston Celtics

Also known as: Boston Celtics
Program History

2009 Team Stats (74 games)

101.1
PPG
92.8
Opp
+8.3
Margin
48.7%
FG%
40.4%
3P%
76.0%
FT%
42.4
RPG
23.0
APG
15.0
TO
92.7
Est. poss./game
99.5
Adj PPG
92.5
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1070 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1194 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +105 elo More โ†’ 1068 (#7) HCA +105 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ +7.0 (#3) HCA +3.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +3.1 (#8) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.688 (#3) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.1 More โ†’ 0.688 (#3) NetEff +7.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.3 More โ†’ 0.698 (#3) AdjNet +7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.3 More โ†’ 0.699 (#3) AdjNet +7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.5 | AdjD 92.5 More โ†’ 0.653 (#3) AdjO 99.5 | AdjD 92.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 99.1 | AdjD 96.5 More โ†’ 0.559 (#8) AdjO 99.1 | AdjD 96.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.637 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.618 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 91 More โ†’ 1110 (#6) RD 128 | GP 91

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-10-28 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 90 - 85
2008-10-31 vs Chicago Bulls W 96 - 80
2008-11-01 @ Indiana Pacers L 79 - 95
2008-11-04 @ Houston Rockets W 103 - 99
2008-11-05 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 96 - 83
2008-11-07 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 101 - 89
2008-11-09 @ Detroit Pistons W 88 - 76
2008-11-10 vs Toronto Raptors W 94 - 87
2008-11-12 vs Atlanta Hawks W 103 - 102
2008-11-14 vs Denver Nuggets L 85 - 94
2008-11-15 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 102 - 97
2008-11-18 vs New York Knicks W 110 - 101
2008-11-20 vs Detroit Pistons W 98 - 80
2008-11-21 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 95 - 78
2008-11-23 @ Toronto Raptors W 118 - 103
2008-11-26 vs Golden State Warriors W 119 - 111
2008-11-28 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 102 - 78
2008-12-01 vs Orlando Magic W 107 - 88
2008-12-03 vs Indiana Pacers W 114 - 96
2008-12-05 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 93 - 78
2008-12-07 @ Indiana Pacers W 122 - 117
2008-12-11 @ Washington Wizards W 122 - 88
2008-12-12 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 94 - 82
2008-12-15 vs Utah Jazz W 100 - 91
2008-12-17 @ Atlanta Hawks W 88 - 85
2008-12-19 vs Chicago Bulls W 126 - 108
2008-12-21 vs New York Knicks W 124 - 105
2008-12-23 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 110 - 91
2008-12-25 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 83 - 92
2008-12-26 @ Golden State Warriors L 89 - 99
2008-12-28 @ Sacramento Kings W 108 - 63
2009-01-02 vs Washington Wizards W 108 - 83
2009-01-04 @ New York Knicks L 88 - 100
2009-01-07 vs Houston Rockets L 85 - 89
2009-01-09 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 83 - 98
2009-01-11 @ Toronto Raptors W 94 - 88
2009-01-12 vs Toronto Raptors W 115 - 109
2009-01-14 vs Brooklyn Nets W 118 - 86
2009-01-17 @ Brooklyn Nets W 105 - 85
2009-01-19 vs Phoenix Suns W 104 - 87
2009-01-21 @ Miami Heat W 98 - 83
2009-01-22 @ Orlando Magic W 90 - 80
2009-01-25 vs Dallas Mavericks W 124 - 100
2009-01-28 vs Sacramento Kings W 119 - 100
2009-01-30 @ Detroit Pistons W 86 - 78
2009-02-01 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 109 - 101
2009-02-05 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 109 - 110
2009-02-06 @ New York Knicks W 110 - 100
2009-02-08 vs San Antonio Spurs L 99 - 105
2009-02-11 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 89 - 77
2009-02-12 @ Dallas Mavericks W 99 - 92
2009-02-19 @ Utah Jazz L 85 - 90
2009-02-22 @ Phoenix Suns W 128 - 108
2009-02-23 @ Denver Nuggets W 114 - 76
2009-02-25 @ LA Clippers L 91 - 93
2009-02-27 vs Indiana Pacers W 104 - 99
2009-03-01 vs Detroit Pistons L 95 - 105
2009-03-04 @ Brooklyn Nets W 115 - 111
2009-03-06 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 105 - 94
2009-03-08 vs Orlando Magic L 79 - 86
2009-03-11 @ Miami Heat L 99 - 107
2009-03-15 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 77 - 86
2009-03-17 @ Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2009-03-18 vs Miami Heat W 112 - 108
2009-03-20 @ San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2009-03-21 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 105 - 87
2009-03-23 vs LA Clippers W 90 - 77
2009-03-25 @ Orlando Magic L 82 - 84
2009-03-27 @ Atlanta Hawks W 99 - 93
2009-03-29 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 103 - 84
2009-04-01 vs Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2009-04-03 vs Atlanta Hawks W 104 - 92
2009-04-08 vs Brooklyn Nets W 106 - 104
2009-04-10 vs Miami Heat W 105 - 98
2009-04-12 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 76 - 107
2009-04-14 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 100 - 98
2009-04-15 vs Washington Wizards W 115 - 107
2009-04-18 vs Chicago Bulls L 103 - 105
2009-04-20 vs Chicago Bulls W 118 - 115
2009-04-23 @ Chicago Bulls W 107 - 86
2009-04-26 @ Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2009-04-28 vs Chicago Bulls W 106 - 104
2009-04-30 @ Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2009-05-02 vs Chicago Bulls W 109 - 99
2009-05-04 vs Orlando Magic L 90 - 95
2009-05-06 vs Orlando Magic W 112 - 94
2009-05-08 @ Orlando Magic L 96 - 117
2009-05-10 @ Orlando Magic W 95 - 94
2009-05-12 vs Orlando Magic W 92 - 88
2009-05-14 @ Orlando Magic L 75 - 83
2009-05-17 vs Orlando Magic L 82 - 101

2009 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Paul Pierce Paul Pierce G 73 37.3 20.0 5.6 3.7 1.0 0.3 2.9 14.2 13.5 - - - - 45.7 40.1 81.8 - 58.3 51.1
Ray Allen Ray Allen G 71 35.9 18.1 3.6 2.9 0.8 0.2 1.8 12.9 10.9 - - - - 49.0 42.3 95.5 - 63.5 58.7
Kevin Garnett Kevin Garnett G 53 31.0 16.0 8.5 2.6 1.1 1.2 1.6 12.9 15.0 - - - - 53.9 28.6 84.1 - 57.2 54.1
Rajon Rondo Rajon Rondo G 72 32.5 11.6 5.2 8.2 1.8 0.1 2.4 9.2 15.3 - - - - 50.2 32.5 63.9 - 54.0 51.1
Eddie House Eddie House G 73 18.1 8.6 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.7 7.0 5.0 - - - - 44.6 44.5 77.1 - 59.3 58.2
Kendrick Perkins Kendrick Perkins G 68 29.0 8.6 8.1 1.2 0.3 1.9 2.2 6.2 11.8 - - - - 58.5 0.0 59.7 - 59.7 58.5
Tony Allen G 43 19.5 7.9 2.4 1.3 1.1 0.5 1.6 6.3 5.3 - - - - 47.6 22.2 71.2 - 53.3 48.7
Leon Powe G 64 17.7 7.7 5.1 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.1 4.9 8.1 - - - - 51.4 0 68.4 - 58.1 51.4
Glen Davis G 70 21.2 7.1 3.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.9 6.0 5.9 - - - - 44.5 40.0 75.2 - 50.6 44.8
Mikki Moore G 20 18.6 4.8 3.9 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.6 5.8 - - - - 57.5 0 70.6 - 59.6 57.5
Stephon Marbury G 19 18.7 3.8 1.2 3.6 0.5 0.2 1.7 4.9 2.6 - - - - 33.0 22.7 45.5 - 36.4 35.6
Brian Scalabrine G 37 13.5 3.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 3.1 2.6 - - - - 42.1 39.3 88.9 - 55.8 52.6
Henry Walker G 25 7.2 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.2 - - - - 62.0 0.0 66.7 - 64.1 62.0
Gabe Pruitt G 44 8.1 2.0 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.2 1.6 - - - - 30.6 28.9 81.0 - 42.0 37.2
Patrick O'Bryant G 25 4.1 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 - - - - 51.7 0 66.7 - 55.4 51.7
J.R. Giddens - 5 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 - - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG