Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | +1.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.0% | 17.0% | -8.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -18 (87-105). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 18 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Henry Walker * | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Pruitt | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 5-15 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marko Jaric * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter