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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Mike Balado

2020 Team Stats (1 games)

80.0
PPG
78.0
Opp
+2.0
Margin
50.0%
FG%
65.0%
3P%
68.4%
FT%
29.0
RPG
14.0
APG
10.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.4
Adj PPG
70.8
Adj Opp PPG
#205
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 832 (#273) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 965 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More → 922 (#267) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -2.5 (#202) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → -3.0 (#215) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.412 (#227) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.6 More → 0.372 (#208) AdjNet -4.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.6 More → 0.369 (#208) AdjNet -4.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.445 (#205) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 70.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.446 (#230) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.388 (#234) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.388 (#239) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 89 | GP 30 More → 899 (#246) RD 89 | GP 30

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-06 vs Arkansas Monticello Boll Weevils W 65 - 49
2019-11-08 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 43 - 71
2019-11-14 vs VMI Keydets W 71 - 56
2019-11-15 vs UC Davis Aggies W 80 - 67
2019-11-17 vs Idaho Vandals W 82 - 68
2019-11-20 @ Colorado State Rams W 80 - 78
2019-11-30 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 57 - 76
2019-12-03 vs Omaha Mavericks W 78 - 73
2019-12-07 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 66 - 63
2019-12-11 @ Missouri State Bears L 53 - 75
2019-12-18 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 79 - 67
2019-12-21 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 62 - 59
2019-12-28 vs Freed Hardeman Lions W 84 - 73
2020-01-02 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 52 - 73
2020-01-04 vs Texas State Bobcats L 67 - 70
2020-01-06 vs Georgia State Panthers W 90 - 87
2020-01-09 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 59 - 75
2020-01-11 vs Troy Trojans W 76 - 68
2020-01-16 @ App State Mountaineers L 80 - 83
2020-01-18 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 80 - 75
2020-01-23 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 75 - 71
2020-01-25 @ Troy Trojans W 78 - 62
2020-01-30 vs App State Mountaineers L 64 - 71
2020-02-01 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 77 - 83
2020-02-08 @ Little Rock Trojans L 87 - 90
2020-02-13 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 67 - 77
2020-02-15 @ Texas State Bobcats L 64 - 69
2020-02-19 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 52 - 66
2020-02-22 vs Little Rock Trojans L 78 - 81
2020-02-26 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 74 - 77
2020-03-03 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 76 - 75
2020-03-07 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 66 - 73

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Mooney J. Mooney G 1 32.0 21.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 23.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jerry Johnson Jerry Johnson G 1 27.0 15.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 11.0 - - - - 66.7 60.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
M. Neufeld M. Neufeld C 1 23.0 14.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 17.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Marquis Eaton Marquis Eaton G 31 32.2 13.6 3.1 2.9 1.4 0.2 1.9 1.8 17.5 -41 28 -1.5 -3.6 32.7 47.6 78.3 -0.83 323.2 41.8
Caleb Fields Caleb Fields - 30 32.7 11.2 3.0 3.6 0.9 0.0 1.9 1.9 15.0 -20 27 -0.7 -1.9 43.9 40.0 71.4 2.01 232.7 49.1
C. Fuller C. Fuller - 1 25.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Canberk Kus Canberk Kus G 31 24.0 9.3 5.2 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.7 1.4 14.6 -62 27 -2.3 -6.5 50.0 44.4 37.5 -2.57 317.4 59.5
J.J. Matthews J.J. Matthews F 31 22.3 8.6 4.7 1.3 0.5 0.6 1.5 0.7 13.5 -42 28 -1.5 -4.8 40.9 0 56.2 -2.52 458.0 40.9
Melo Eggleston Melo Eggleston G 17 21.2 8.4 5.1 1.1 0.4 0.4 1.9 1.6 11.9 - - - - 37.0 22.2 60.0 - 212.8 40.7
E. Manjon E. Manjon - 1 31.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Koehler K. Koehler F 1 17.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Malik Brevard Malik Brevard F 31 19.9 5.8 5.9 0.7 0.8 0.5 1.5 0.7 11.5 4 28 0.1 0.5 59.1 0 60.0 1.59 340.9 59.1
Christian Willis Christian Willis G 31 19.2 5.4 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.0 0.7 6.9 -73 28 -2.6 -9.6 47.8 38.5 71.4 -4.74 322.1 58.7
S. Gonzalez S. Gonzalez G 1 25.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Antwon Jackson Antwon Jackson F 31 13.9 3.2 2.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.3 6.5 -41 25 -1.6 -12.5 66.7 0 20.0 -2.82 369.4 66.7
Kobe Wilson Kobe Wilson G 15 6.7 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.4 -3 11 -0.3 -2.1 28.6 0.0 0 -1.08 150.0 28.6
Jake Scoggins Jake Scoggins F 5 4.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 - - - - 25.0 0 0.0 -2.01 45.0 25.0
R. Printup R. Printup G 1 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Farrington M. Farrington - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
O. Gehrke O. Gehrke F 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG