Model Predictions
| Model | Omaha Mavericks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Omaha Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Gibson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Ayo Akinwole * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Zach Thornhill * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Matt Pile * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Wanjang Tut * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| KJ Robinson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Marlon Ruffin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Darrius Hughes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nathan Brusseau | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Willis * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Matthews * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Canberk Kus * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Malik Brevard * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Fields | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
* = starter