Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | +5.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +3 (77-74). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Fields * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 36 | 10-19 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Canberk Kus * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Matthews * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Malik Brevard * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Melo Eggleston | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Christian Willis | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jerry Johnson Jr. | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Russell * | 38 | 8-18 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Mylik Wilson * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Hardy * | 35 | 6-15 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Dou Gueye * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Trajan Wesley | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kristian Lafayette | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mason Aucoin | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter