Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Johnson | 27 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Christian Willis * | 28 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Malik Brevard * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Canberk Kus * | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Matthews * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Fields | 37 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Scoggins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Nico Carvacho * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Adam Thistlewood * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kris Martin * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| David Roddy | 23 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Hyron Edwards | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dischon Thomas | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| John Tonje | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter