🐻⬇️🏀

UT Arlington Mavericks 73
@
Arkansas State Red Wolves 52
2020-01-02

Player statistics are only partially materialized for this game.

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% - ✗
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 ✓ (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 74.7% 25.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 74.9% 25.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -21 (52-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.