Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markquis Nowell * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Jovan Stulic * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ruot Monyyong * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Jaizec Lottie | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Marko Lukic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nikola Maric | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Eaton * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 37 | - |
| Canberk Kus * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Malik Brevard * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Matthews * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Caleb Fields | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Antwon Jackson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Melo Eggleston | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Willis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter