Arkansas State
2006 Team Stats (2 games)
70.0
PPG
61.5
Opp
+8.5
Margin
41.7%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
67.9%
FT%
40.5
RPG
14.5
APG
15.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.6
Adj PPG
74.0
Adj Opp PPG
#224
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2005-2006
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 884 (#238) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 897 (#241) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 938 (#254) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.6 (#225) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.2 (#256) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.348 (#235) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.345 (#205) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.343 (#205) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.403 (#224) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 74.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.395 (#266) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.364 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.363 (#243) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 905 (#229) | RD 153 | GP 28 |
2006 Schedule & Results
2006 Roster
No roster data available for this season.