Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (26.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -24 (83-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ramsey | 35 | 8-9 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| B. Dixon | 30 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| C. Jackson | 23 | 11-13 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| S. Sharp | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Huffman | 19 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| R. Damus | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Martin | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Brandon | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Phillips | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 39 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. Tipler | 34 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| I. Wells | 34 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 20 | - |
| M. Ardison | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Ballard | 26 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Y. Banks | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Little | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter