Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | -8.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -2 (70-72). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee | 37 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Elgrace Wilborn | 36 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Winchester | 34 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ty Rogers | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Benson Callier | 28 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Joemal Campbell | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Mike Walker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Orlando Mendez-Valdez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Maresca | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Boris Siakam | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Emerson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Butch Jointer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Jones | 39 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Ardison | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Isaac Wells | 35 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Yual Banks | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dereke Tipler | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Durham | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kitus Witherspoon | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Wray | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter