Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +23 (91-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dixon | 33 | 5-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| J. Huffman | 32 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Sharp | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Ramsey | 23 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -3 | - |
| A. Brandon | 22 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Jackson | 22 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Martin | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Damus | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Davis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Phillips | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ardison | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Y. Banks | 32 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Durham | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Jones | 28 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 3 | - |
| I. Wells | 28 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| D. Tipler | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 28 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Little | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| C. Parker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. King | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Wray | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Henderson | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter