Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -17 (80-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ahearn | 33 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 22 | - |
| T. Chaney | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Easley | 26 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| N. Bilyeu | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Frazier | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Laurie | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Richards | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tipler | 38 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| I. Wells | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Ballard | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Ardison | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Jones | 23 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Nichols | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| T. Little | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Durham | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter