Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +8 (54-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jones-Jennings | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Z. Wright | 35 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| E. Muldrow | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| L. Malone | 33 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4 | - |
| B. Ray | 26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Eggins | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Nichols | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Harding | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Razz | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 35 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Ardison | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Tipler | 31 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 24 | - |
| K. Durham | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| I. Wells | 29 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Y. Banks | 24 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Little | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter