Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | +15.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +24 (87-63). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Jones | 38 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| I. Wells | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Ardison | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Tipler | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Y. Banks | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| K. Durham | 21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| T. Little | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Henderson | 7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Wray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Winchester | 28 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Lee | 25 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| B. Callier | 24 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| O. Mendez-Valdez | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Emerson | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Jointer | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Rogers | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Walker | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Maresca | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Howard | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter