🐻⬇️🏀

American University

Also known as: American University Eagles
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

74.5
PPG
71.7
Opp
+2.8
Margin
44.8%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
75.1%
FT%
31.9
RPG
13.2
APG
10.6
TO
76.9
Pace
70.2
AdjO
75.9
AdjD
#247
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 904 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 889 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 935 (#618) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -6.0 (#254) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +7.0 (#280) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.472 (#201) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.9 More → 0.663 (#127) NetEff +5.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.313 (#241) AdjNet -6.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.0 More → 0.308 (#242) AdjNet -7.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 75.9 More → 0.374 (#247) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 75.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.521 (#210) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.630 (#265) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.595 (#265) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 31 More → 907 (#467) RD 154 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 74 - 88
2025-11-09 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 84 - 78
2025-11-12 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 67 - 107
2025-11-15 vs Central Penn Knights W 115 - 50
2025-11-18 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 71 - 80
2025-11-24 vs Marywood Pacers W 113 - 53
2025-11-28 vs Maine Black Bears W 74 - 61
2025-11-29 vs Siena Saints L 55 - 59
2025-11-30 vs Longwood Lancers W 92 - 66
2025-12-03 vs Drexel Dragons W 75 - 73
2025-12-18 @ VCU Rams L 83 - 105
2025-12-22 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 51 - 95
2025-12-31 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 84 - 69
2026-01-03 @ Boston University Terriers W 64 - 62
2026-01-07 @ Colgate Raiders L 62 - 64
2026-01-10 vs Holy Cross Crusaders L 73 - 84
2026-01-12 vs Navy Midshipmen W 65 - 51
2026-01-18 @ Army Black Knights W 78 - 67
2026-01-21 vs Colgate Raiders W 70 - 66
2026-01-24 @ Holy Cross Crusaders W 76 - 67
2026-01-28 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 68 - 77
2026-01-31 vs Lafayette Leopards L 65 - 67
2026-02-04 vs Bucknell Bison L 59 - 60
2026-02-07 @ Navy Midshipmen L 73 - 82
2026-02-11 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 82 - 90
2026-02-14 vs Army Black Knights W 75 - 63
2026-02-18 @ Bucknell Bison W 75 - 57
2026-02-22 @ Lafayette Leopards W 75 - 61
2026-02-25 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 73 - 78
2026-02-28 vs Boston University Terriers L 65 - 68
2026-03-05 @ Boston University Terriers L 73 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Madden Collins Madden Collins - 31 21.8 13.5 4.8 2.0 1.2 0.5 1.6 10.2 10.2 41 1.8 4.5 51.1 22.0 70.3 -0.3 57.7 54.3
G. Jones G. Jones - 31 30.3 12.6 4.9 2.1 1.0 0.0 1.5 9.6 9.6 7 0.3 0.6 41.3 27.5 80.6 0.03 54.2 46.3
J. Iturbe J. Iturbe - 31 25.9 10.4 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 1.8 8.2 8.5 82 3.6 7.8 47.5 34.2 67.2 0.24 57.4 55.5
G. Sprouse G. Sprouse - 31 26.9 9.3 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.0 0.9 7.5 6.2 -7 -0.3 -0.8 41.9 39.4 75.0 -0.17 58.9 57.7
M. Mayock M. Mayock - 30 29.0 8.4 3.7 1.7 1.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 7.5 -7 -0.3 -0.7 45.6 33.3 82.7 -0.62 57.6 53.3
W. Nausadis W. Nausadis - 31 22.9 7.9 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.1 1.3 6.4 4.4 -14 -0.6 -1.4 42.4 35.2 70.4 -0.92 55.0 52.0
Carson Mcdonald Carson Mcdonald - 4 14.2 7.2 5.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 0.8 4.0 9.2 -9 -2.2 -8.2 68.8 0.0 63.6 -0.16 69.6 68.8
Kade Sebastian Kade Sebastian - 31 21.5 5.7 2.7 1.2 1.0 0.1 0.7 4.0 6.0 -16 -0.7 -1.8 43.5 37.6 81.8 -0.12 61.4 56.5
Chris Eagan Chris Eagan - 31 11.2 3.9 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 3.5 1.6 -25 -1.1 -5.5 45.0 20.0 79.3 -1.09 50.1 45.4
Dean Hogans Dean Hogans - 22 7.0 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.0 49 3.8 28.4 38.5 26.9 42.9 0.18 47.5 47.4
Luke Brown Luke Brown - 19 5.9 1.0 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.9 71 3.7 39.8 35.0 0.0 83.3 0.61 42.0 35.0
Matthew Casey Matthew Casey - 6 3.5 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.0 14 2.0 87.5 10.0 12.5 50.0 -0.06 18.4 15.0
Jack Anderson Jack Anderson - 5 2.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 -12 -2.0 -53.4 50.0 0.0 0 -0.1 50.0 50.0
A. Samuels A. Samuels G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
G. Coleman G. Coleman F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
N. Jones N. Jones F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 9 0.5 0.8 - - - 0.0 - -
Kamran Prince Kamran Prince G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 1 1.0 18.6 - - - 0.01 - -
Shane O'Reilly Shane O'Reilly G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
E. Michaels E. Michaels F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG