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Lafayette

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Lafayette Leopards
Program History
Coach: Mike McGarvey

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

82.0
PPG
81.5
Opp
+0.5
Margin
47.8%
FG%
29.6%
3P%
54.5%
FT%
34.5
RPG
19.5
APG
12.5
TO
76.8
Est. poss./game
64.0
Adj PPG
72.1
Adj Opp PPG
#351
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 689 (returning production + recruiting): last season 812, returning -18, transfers -76, freshmen -30 More → 680 (#353) Preseason prior 689 (returning production + recruiting): last season 812, returning -18, transfers -76, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 813 (#354) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +274 elo More → 905 (#351) HCA +274 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +11.1 More → -16.8 (#358) HCA +11.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → -16.4 (#358) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.101 (#346) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.7 More → 0.262 (#341) AdjNet -15.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.0 More → 0.257 (#341) AdjNet -16.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 72.1 More → 0.267 (#351) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 72.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 72.0 More → 0.325 (#348) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 72.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.222 (#356) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.232 (#355) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 791 (#352) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Butler Bulldogs L 60 - 96
2026-11-05 vs King's Monarchs W 104 - 67
2026-11-07 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks - Preview
2026-11-10 vs Penn State Lehigh Valley Nittany Lions - Preview
2026-11-14 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies - Preview

2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cooper Kesler Cooper Kesler G 2 29.0 17.0 2.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 10.5 9.5 -37 1 -37.0 -45.8 57.1 58.3 75.0 -1.74 74.7 73.8
Beckett Currie Beckett Currie G 2 27.0 11.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 12.5 0.5 -24 1 -24.0 -34.7 36.0 20.0 33.3 -0.37 41.8 42.0
Jasraj Gill Jasraj Gill F 2 22.0 11.0 7.0 4.5 1.5 0.5 3.5 8.5 12.5 -28 1 -28.0 -48.1 58.8 0.0 100.0 -1.59 61.5 58.8
Shareef Jackson Shareef Jackson F 2 17.5 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 7.0 9.0 -29 1 -29.0 -61.1 64.3 0 40.0 -2.18 61.7 64.3
Owen Kelly Owen Kelly G 2 21.5 9.5 3.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 8.5 7.0 -27 1 -27.0 -49.5 47.1 20.0 50.0 -2.17 50.6 50.0
Misha Bednostin Misha Bednostin C 2 15.0 4.5 4.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.5 7.0 -8 1 -8.0 -20.1 80.0 0 25.0 -0.5 66.6 80.0
Patrick D'Arcy Patrick D'Arcy G 2 10.5 3.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 1.5 -4 1 -4.0 -13.9 22.2 25.0 100.0 -0.55 35.4 27.8
Ashton Wallace Ashton Wallace G 2 4.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 5 1 5.0 63.8 100.0 100.0 0 0.75 116.7 116.7
Folabomi Fayemi Folabomi Fayemi G 2 4.0 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 5 1 5.0 63.8 66.7 0.0 100.0 0.77 77.3 66.7
Kaimani Murdock Kaimani Murdock F 2 12.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 1.5 -8 1 -8.0 -27.0 33.3 33.3 0.0 -0.52 43.6 50.0
Aaron Sievert Aaron Sievert G 1 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Malik Rasul Malik Rasul F 2 6.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 3 1 3.0 28.6 66.7 0 100.0 -0.19 72.7 66.7
Luke Bevilacqua Luke Bevilacqua F 2 5.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 4.0 -2 1 -2.0 -19.4 33.3 0 50.0 -2.6 42.0 33.3
Luke Azzinaro Luke Azzinaro F 2 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 5 1 5.0 107.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.07 0.0 0.0
AJ Collins AJ Collins G 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 3 1 3.0 126.3 0.0 0 0 0.25 0.0 0.0
Shelton Henton Shelton Henton G 2 16.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 -34 1 -34.0 -70.7 0.0 0.0 0 -2.74 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

136 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Gill23% Jackson24% Kesler100% Gill100% Sievert50% Kesler100% Kesler50% Kesler100% Currie38%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Kelly33% Jackson29% D'Arcy100% Kesler100% Currie60% Kelly43% Currie50% Currie29% Kesler50% Currie64%
Misses: who misses most here

Cooper KeslerBeckett CurrieJasraj GillShareef JacksonOwen KellyPatrick D'ArcyAaron Sievert

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 26-35 74.3 52 Jasraj Gill 23% (12 pts) Owen Kelly 15% (8 pts) Owen Kelly 33% (3 misses) Jasraj Gill 22% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 21-38 55.3 42 Shareef Jackson 24% (10 pts) Beckett Currie 14% (6 pts) Shareef Jackson 29% (5 misses) Cooper Kesler 18% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 0-1 0.0 0 - - Patrick D'Arcy 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-2 50.0 2 Cooper Kesler 100% (2 pts) - Cooper Kesler 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 1-6 16.7 2 Jasraj Gill 100% (2 pts) - Beckett Currie 60% (3 misses) Owen Kelly 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-9 22.2 6 Aaron Sievert 50% (3 pts) Cooper Kesler 50% (3 pts) Owen Kelly 43% (3 misses) Aaron Sievert 14% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 Cooper Kesler 100% (3 pts) - Beckett Currie 50% (1 misses) Patrick D'Arcy 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 4-18 22.2 12 Cooper Kesler 50% (6 pts) Ashton Wallace 25% (3 pts) Beckett Currie 29% (4 misses) Kaimani Murdock 21% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-5 20.0 3 Cooper Kesler 100% (3 pts) - Cooper Kesler 50% (2 misses) Jasraj Gill 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 8-19 42.1 24 Beckett Currie 38% (9 pts) Cooper Kesler 25% (6 pts) Beckett Currie 64% (7 misses) Folabomi Fayemi 9% (1 misses)