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Wake Forest

Also known as: Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Wake Forest
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

79.2
PPG
77.5
Opp
+1.7
Margin
45.2%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
77.9%
FT%
33.6
RPG
14.5
APG
11.1
TO
79.9
Pace
83.0
AdjO
71.7
AdjD
#62
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1094 (#102) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1122 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 982 (#546) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +11.2 (#61) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +20.4 (#80) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.569 (#133) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -15.9 More → 0.164 (#291) NetEff -15.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.6 More → 0.844 (#59) AdjNet +14.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.9 More → 0.848 (#59) AdjNet +14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.737 (#62) AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 71.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 74.2 More → 0.584 (#138) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 74.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.854 (#82) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.810 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 33 More → 1119 (#123) RD 106 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs American University Eagles W 88 - 74
2025-11-07 vs Morehead State Eagles W 81 - 65
2025-11-11 @ Michigan Wolverines L 84 - 85
2025-11-16 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 109 - 75
2025-11-20 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 83 - 84
2025-11-21 @ Memphis Tigers W 69 - 68
2025-11-25 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 99 - 51
2025-11-28 vs Northeastern Huskies W 86 - 73
2025-12-02 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 68 - 86
2025-12-14 vs Queens University Royals W 111 - 73
2025-12-17 vs Longwood Lancers W 71 - 68
2025-12-21 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 67 - 98
2025-12-31 @ NC State Wolfpack L 57 - 70
2026-01-03 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 81 - 78
2026-01-07 vs Miami Hurricanes L 77 - 81
2026-01-10 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 84 - 87
2026-01-20 vs SMU Mustangs L 79 - 91
2026-01-24 @ Duke Blue Devils L 69 - 90
2026-01-27 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 76 - 80
2026-01-31 vs NC State Wolfpack L 78 - 96
2026-02-07 vs Louisville Cardinals L 80 - 88
2026-02-11 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 83 - 67
2026-02-14 vs Stanford Cardinal W 68 - 63
2026-02-18 vs Clemson Tigers W 85 - 77
2026-02-21 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 63 - 82
2026-02-24 @ Boston College Eagles L 67 - 68
2026-02-28 vs Syracuse Orange W 88 - 83
2026-03-03 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 70 - 75
2026-03-07 vs California Golden Bears W 80 - 73
2026-03-10 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 95 - 89
2026-03-11 @ Clemson Tigers L 62 - 71
2026-03-18 vs Navy Midshipmen W 82 - 72
2026-03-22 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 75 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Juke Harris Juke Harris G 33 35.4 21.4 6.5 2.1 1.3 0.2 1.6 15.1 14.8 48 2.2 3.1 44.5 32.1 78.0 0.66 58.6 52.2
M. Colvin M. Colvin G 33 26.9 11.6 4.3 1.3 1.1 0.3 1.8 8.6 8.2 6 0.3 0.4 40.4 37.0 88.0 -0.19 57.4 50.4
T. Spillers T. Spillers F 33 28.8 11.2 5.8 1.8 1.0 1.5 1.2 8.1 12.1 50 1.9 3.7 56.6 37.5 76.0 0.49 61.8 58.8
N. Calmese N. Calmese G 24 24.0 10.2 2.0 4.3 1.0 0.1 1.9 8.2 7.5 61 2.5 5.3 46.4 42.9 88.9 0.84 58.9 56.4
M. Mason M. Mason - 32 20.2 7.6 2.6 1.4 1.0 0.2 1.1 6.2 5.5 -278 -0.5 -46.6 39.2 33.8 67.7 -0.65 53.5 50.3
O. Biliew O. Biliew F 33 20.6 6.5 2.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.8 4.4 5.4 43 2.0 4.4 46.2 36.9 78.7 0.67 62.0 56.9
S. Akins S. Akins G 33 15.5 5.4 1.5 1.9 0.8 0.1 1.2 4.6 3.9 17 0.8 2.8 39.7 18.8 77.8 0.06 49.8 42.7
Carson Schwieger Carson Schwieger F 32 20.1 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 3.8 4.8 28 2.5 10.6 50.4 33.3 72.2 0.05 58.1 55.0
Isaac Carr Isaac Carr - 25 11.4 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.9 10 0.7 3.5 42.0 31.2 62.5 0.01 50.0 47.0
Jaylen Cross Jaylen Cross - 13 5.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 4 0.3 2.6 42.1 60.0 71.4 0.0 54.3 50.0
Marqus Marion Marqus Marion - 18 13.1 1.6 2.5 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.3 4.1 54 3.6 13.0 41.7 10.0 61.5 0.47 48.8 43.8
Vincent Ricchiuti Vincent Ricchiuti - 4 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 2 0.7 11.3 50.0 50.0 0 -0.01 75.0 75.0
O. Kmety O. Kmety - 2 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Will Underwood Will Underwood - 4 1.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -2 -0.7 -14.2 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
Anson Beard Jr. Anson Beard Jr. - 3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.7 -14.2 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
Dimitrije Kovacevic Dimitrije Kovacevic F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG