Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.6% | 1.4% | -23.2 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (117-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 24 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Luguentz Dort * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 22 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 20 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kingston Flemings | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Asa Newell | 16 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Zuby Ejiofor | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kobe Johnson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jalen Wilson | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ivica Zubac * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 20 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 10 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 14 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Slawson | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Braden Smith | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kobe Brown | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| James Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rienk Mast | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Keba Keita | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter