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Navy

Also known as: Navy Midshipmen, Navy
Program History

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

39.0
PPG
91.0
Opp
-52.0
Margin
24.1%
FG%
11.1%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
28.0
RPG
4.0
APG
19.0
TO
72.7
Est. poss./game
57.4
Adj PPG
69.3
Adj Opp PPG
#239
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 897 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1043, returning -14, transfers -74, freshmen -58 More โ†’ 869 (#223) Preseason prior 897 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1043, returning -14, transfers -74, freshmen -58
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 977 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More โ†’ 976 (#178) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +17.4 More โ†’ -16.9 (#362) HCA +17.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More โ†’ -17.5 (#239) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.000 (#241) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -72.8 More โ†’ 0.000 (#241) NetEff -72.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.7 More โ†’ 0.044 (#241) AdjNet -26.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.3 More โ†’ 0.037 (#241) AdjNet -27.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 69.3 More โ†’ 0.254 (#239) AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 69.3 More โ†’ 0.254 (#239) AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.197 (#240) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.197 (#240) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 904 (#159) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 39 - 91
2026-11-05 vs Delaware State Hornets - Preview
2026-11-08 vs Central Penn Knights - Preview
2026-11-11 vs Pennsylvania Quakers - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
David Burnett David Burnett G 1 28.0 11.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 8.0 - - - - 57.1 100.0 100.0 - 69.8 64.3
Cam Cole Cam Cole G 1 29.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 9.0 -6.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 37.2 33.3
Julian Gabbidon Julian Gabbidon G 1 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Drew Timmons Drew Timmons F 1 16.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 - - - - 20.0 0.0 66.7 - 31.6 20.0
Justin Nordin Justin Nordin G 1 19.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 1.0 - - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 - 29.1 16.7
Sean Griffin Sean Griffin F 1 16.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 -1.0 - - - - 12.5 20.0 0 - 18.8 18.8
Jinwoo Kim Jinwoo Kim G 1 33.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 -8.0 - - - - 9.1 0.0 0 - 9.1 9.1
Akim Iscandari Akim Iscandari G 1 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 - - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Jerry Ashley Jr. Jerry Ashley Jr. F 1 20.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 10.2 0.0
Jordan Pennick Jordan Pennick G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Matt Gaffney Matt Gaffney G 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Owen Gray Owen Gray F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Nyles Howard Nyles Howard G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Cooper Jackson Cooper Jackson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Colin Pollock Colin Pollock F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tobi Raji Tobi Raji F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
RJ Roche RJ Roche F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Marlon Williams Marlon Williams G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
JP Baldwin JP Baldwin F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Charlie Crane Charlie Crane C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Wayne Fletcher II Wayne Fletcher II G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dylan Gassaway Dylan Gassaway F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Luke Mayberry Luke Mayberry G 1 20.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sam Pitrof Sam Pitrof G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Bryce Reynierson Bryce Reynierson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

58 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Cole25% Iscandari33% Kim100% Burnett100% Griffin100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Kim40% Ashley25% Kim100% Cole67% Kim50% Kim67% Nordin100% Cole33% Timmons33% Griffin67%
Misses: who misses most here

David BurnettCam ColeSean GriffinAkim IscandariDrew TimmonsJinwoo KimJustin NordinJerry Ashley Jr.

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 8-13 61.5 16 Cam Cole 25% (4 pts) David Burnett 25% (4 pts) Jinwoo Kim 40% (2 misses) David Burnett 20% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 3-19 15.8 6 Akim Iscandari 33% (2 pts) Cam Cole 33% (2 pts) Jerry Ashley Jr. 25% (4 misses) Akim Iscandari 12% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 0-2 0.0 0 - - Jinwoo Kim 100% (2 misses) -
Mid-range center 0-3 0.0 0 - - Cam Cole 67% (2 misses) Matt Gaffney 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-3 33.3 2 Jinwoo Kim 100% (2 pts) - Jinwoo Kim 50% (1 misses) Justin Nordin 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Jinwoo Kim 67% (2 misses) Sean Griffin 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-1 0.0 0 - - Justin Nordin 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 0-3 0.0 0 - - Cam Cole 33% (1 misses) Jinwoo Kim 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-7 14.3 3 David Burnett 100% (3 pts) - Drew Timmons 33% (2 misses) Akim Iscandari 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 1-4 25.0 3 Sean Griffin 100% (3 pts) - Sean Griffin 67% (2 misses) Justin Nordin 33% (1 misses)