Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania Quakers | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
70.2% (#94) | 29.8% (#208) | Pennsyl... -9.0 | 80-71 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
34.7% (#89) | 65.3% (#193) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
26.0% (#95) | 74.0% (#190) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
85.3% (#72) | 14.7% (#353) | Pennsyl... -19.4 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
84.9% (#73) | 15.1% (#354) | Pennsyl... -19.0 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
75.4% (#200) | 24.6% (#312) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
75.9% (#125) | 24.1% (#320) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
77.2% (#125) | 22.8% (#326) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
49.2% (#112) | 50.8% (#323) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
43.9% (#130) | 56.1% (#340) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
73.0% (#107) | 27.0% (#320) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
72.2% (#109) | 27.8% (#325) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
59.8% (#96) | 40.2% (#186) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend | Prior-only ranking with no forecast | |||
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Pennsylvania Quakers | Navy Midshipmen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 3 |
| PPG | 70.0 | 69.0 |
| FG% | 29.1% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 30.8% |
| FT% | 66.7% | 69.0% |
| RPG | 33.0 | 37.7 |
| APG | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| SPG | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| BPG | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| TOPG | 9.0 | 15.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Pennsylvania Quakers | Navy Midshipmen |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 97.1 | 90.1 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 102.9 | 109.9 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -5.8 | -19.8 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Pennsylvania Quakers Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 |
| Lucas Lueth | 14.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 31.0 |
| Michael Zanoni | 16.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 |
| Sir Mohammed | 4.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 |
| Augustus Gerhart | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 |
Navy Midshipmen Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pennick | 19.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 29.0 |
| Jinwoo Kim | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.3 |
| David Burnett | 9.7 | 9.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 26.3 |
| Cam Cole | 6.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 24.3 |
| Jerry Ashley Jr. | 6.3 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 20.7 |