🐻⬇️🏀

UMES

Season:
Also known as: UMES
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 677 (#354) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 666 (#359) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -18.1 (#359) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.068 (#361) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.068 (#362) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.2 More → 0.046 (#360) AdjNet -26.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.7 More → 0.043 (#360) AdjNet -26.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 80.1 More → 0.153 (#360) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 80.1

2025 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2025 Roster

No roster data available for this season.