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N.C. Central

Season:
Also known as: N.C. Central
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 890 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 890 (#273) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -10.3 (#316) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.325 (#279) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.325 (#279) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.4 More → 0.145 (#321) AdjNet -15.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.6 More → 0.142 (#321) AdjNet -15.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 80.7 More → 0.266 (#323) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 80.7

2025 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2025 Roster

No roster data available for this season.