๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

2021 Team Stats (4 games)

61.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
37.1%
FG%
24.1%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
31.8
RPG
9.0
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.0
Adj PPG
78.3
Adj Opp PPG
#336
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 715 (#323) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 843 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More โ†’ 945 (#253) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More โ†’ -17.4 (#338) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -13.5 (#322) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.175 (#315) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.3 More โ†’ 0.088 (#330) AdjNet -20.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.7 More โ†’ 0.084 (#331) AdjNet -20.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 78.3 More โ†’ 0.199 (#336) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 78.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 72.2 More โ†’ 0.364 (#295) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 72.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.206 (#320) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.235 (#315) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 19 More โ†’ 813 (#289) RD 144 | GP 19

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 @ UAB Blazers L 50 - 99
2020-11-28 @ Kent State Golden Flashes - Preview
2020-12-13 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors - Preview
2020-12-20 @ Houston Cougars L 55 - 88
2020-12-22 @ Liberty Flames L 65 - 108
2020-12-27 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 59 - 87
2020-12-30 @ Baylor Bears L 76 - 105
2021-01-02 vs Texas Southern Tigers - Preview
2021-01-04 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers - Preview
2021-01-09 @ Jackson State Tigers - Preview
2021-01-11 @ Grambling Tigers - Postponed
2021-01-12 @ Grambling Tigers L 74 - 79
2021-01-16 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 71 - 59
2021-01-18 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 82 - 48
2021-01-23 @ Alabama State Hornets W 57 - 52
2021-01-25 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs - Preview
2021-01-30 vs Southern Jaguars L 59 - 76
2021-02-06 vs Jackson State Tigers L 66 - 74
2021-02-08 vs Grambling Tigers L 62 - 67
2021-02-13 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 70 - 56
2021-02-17 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Preview
2021-02-20 vs Alabama State Hornets - Postponed
2021-02-22 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 65 - 52
2021-02-24 vs Alabama State Hornets W 68 - 59
2021-02-27 @ Southern Jaguars L 75 - 89
2021-03-04 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 78 - 80
2021-03-06 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 69 - 81
2021-03-11 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 55 - 78

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Johnson J. Johnson - 1 29.0 25.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 31.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jalen Benjamin Jalen Benjamin - 1 23.0 21.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Troymain Crosby Troymain Crosby G 10 29.4 19.8 5.7 0.6 0.9 0.0 2.4 3.2 21.4 -61 11 -5.5 -7.9 40.6 0.0 71.4 -0.71 223.4 40.6
E. Cuffee E. Cuffee G 1 23.0 16.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Nicholson K. Nicholson F 1 30.0 16.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 22.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Q. Jackson Q. Jackson G 1 27.0 14.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 25.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jeremiah Gambrell Jeremiah Gambrell - 1 25.0 14.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 21.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Randolph T. Randolph F 1 26.0 12.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kurk Lee Kurk Lee G 4 25.2 11.5 1.8 3.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 14.2 -15 8 -1.9 -2.8 50.0 0 0 -2.07 1150.0 50.0
C. Parker C. Parker G 1 28.0 11.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Ertel M. Ertel G 1 28.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Scott-Grayson T. Scott-Grayson - 1 26.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 18.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Cobb R. Cobb F 1 17.0 10.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tyree Corbett Tyree Corbett - 13 21.6 9.5 5.7 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.8 4.0 11.5 -123 14 -8.8 -16.9 48.1 38.5 61.5 -4.15 106.5 52.9
K. Edwards K. Edwards G 1 21.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Tatum J. Tatum - 1 30.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Oddyst Walker Oddyst Walker - 16 25.5 8.9 3.1 0.5 1.6 0.1 1.4 2.1 10.6 -71 12 -5.9 -9.7 32.4 36.8 81.2 -1.71 173.0 42.6
P. Moss P. Moss G 1 18.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Pierce David Pierce G 8 24.1 7.9 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.8 4.5 5.0 -98 13 -7.5 -14.2 33.3 21.7 87.5 1.47 79.7 40.3
Jacoby Ross Jacoby Ross G 2 22.0 7.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 8.0 -2.5 - - - - 31.2 22.2 100.0 -0.77 41.5 37.5
Rongie Gordon Rongie Gordon - 1 17.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Byron Joshua Byron Joshua G 19 18.8 6.9 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.1 2.7 2.1 7.2 -149 15 -9.9 -18.8 38.5 30.0 38.9 -4.38 140.7 42.3
Garrett Hicks Garrett Hicks - 1 38.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Myson Lowe Myson Lowe - 9 11.9 4.4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.4 0.9 4.2 -27 11 -2.5 -10.8 37.5 37.5 33.3 1.44 188.0 56.2
Anthony Fairley Anthony Fairley F 7 18.0 4.3 4.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.9 1.3 8.4 -73 14 -5.2 -11.3 88.9 0 100.0 -2.29 158.9 88.9
T. Cunningham T. Cunningham G 1 33.0 4.0 3.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Jeffries K. Jeffries - 1 11.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Dobbs D. Dobbs - 1 15.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
P. Taylor P. Taylor G 1 21.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. McGee S. McGee F 2 17.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. McDowell K. McDowell G 1 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dekedran Thorn Dekedran Thorn G 5 10.4 2.4 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.6 -17 5 -3.4 -13.3 0.0 0.0 0 -2.54 300.0 0.0
Arne Morris Arne Morris G 10 13.5 2.2 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.3 1.6 -114 11 -10.4 -28.8 30.8 25.0 40.0 -3.96 72.4 34.6
B. Houston B. Houston F 1 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Price J. Price G 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Abii M. Abii F 1 11.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Terrell Ard Jr. Terrell Ard Jr. - 1 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kobe Wilson Kobe Wilson F 7 14.3 1.3 3.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 3.7 -111 11 -10.1 -32.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 -5.32 61.5 33.3
Malik Hardmon Malik Hardmon F 13 13.6 1.3 1.5 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 2.5 -33 14 -2.4 -7.3 14.3 0.0 50.0 -0.25 97.0 14.3
Justin Thomas Justin Thomas G 2 29.5 1.0 4.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 3.5 2.0 -22 7 -3.1 -5.5 0.0 0 0 -2.32 14.3 0.0
A. Lawal A. Lawal C 1 9.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tajah Fraley Tajah Fraley G 5 6.4 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.2 1.4 -17 5 -3.4 -24.0 0.0 0 50.0 -1.71 79.8 0.0
T. Dean T. Dean G 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Maide M. Maide G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Reed C. Reed G 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. McKay L. McKay G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K.J Riley K.J Riley - 6 4.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 -32 5 -6.4 -62.3 0 0 0 -4.49 0 0
T. Rotegaard T. Rotegaard - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Walker D. Walker G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG