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Alcorn State Braves 6-13
@
2020-12-13
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 11-10

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Hawai'i Rain... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 20.3% (#323) 79.7% (#259) Hawai'i... -8.5 66-75
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 26.8% (#294) 73.2% (#191) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 3.9% (#338) 96.1% (#182) Hawai'i... -17.6 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 23.4% (#315) 76.6% (#174) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 3.4% (#330) 96.6% (#185) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 3.1% (#331) 96.9% (#185) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 18.2% (#336) 81.8% (#187) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Alcorn State Braves Hawai'i Rain...
Games 15 18
PPG 67.1 70.9
FG% 40.4% 44.1%
3PT% 30.7% 36.3%
FT% 72.6% 72.2%
RPG 30.9 34.5
APG 9.4 11.2
SPG 7.3 5.5
BPG 1.7 1.7
TOPG 14.9 14.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Alcorn State Braves Hawai'i Rain...
Adj. Off Eff 89.8 98.8
Adj. Def Eff 110.2 101.2
Adj. Net Eff -20.3 -2.4

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Alcorn State Braves Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Troymain Crosby 18.9 5.5 0.6 1.0 0.0 29.5
K. Lee 9.9 2.2 3.9 0.5 0.0 28.0
Justin Thomas 4.1 2.6 2.9 0.9 0.3 25.7
Oddyst Walker 8.9 3.1 0.5 1.6 0.1 25.5
David Pierce 8.7 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 23.1

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Junior Madut 10.8 4.2 1.7 1.1 0.2 30.4
Justin Webster 12.3 3.5 1.2 0.7 0.0 30.1
Casdon Jardine 10.9 5.5 1.3 0.9 0.3 28.1
Biwali Bayles 6.3 3.3 2.6 0.5 0.1 22.4
James Jean-Marie 11.8 4.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 21.4