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Alcorn State

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History
Coach: Jake Morton

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

66.8
PPG
90.0
Opp
-23.2
Margin
38.8%
FG%
32.3%
3P%
61.5%
FT%
33.0
RPG
12.3
APG
17.8
TO
72.8
Est. poss./game
69.1
Adj PPG
81.9
Adj Opp PPG
#358
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 689 (returning production + recruiting): last season 789, returning -17, transfers -53, freshmen -30 More → 673 (#349) Preseason prior 689 (returning production + recruiting): last season 789, returning -17, transfers -53, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More → 815 (#359) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More → 887 (#361) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More → -14.4 (#335) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → -14.2 (#335) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.068 (#354) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.7 More → 0.203 (#345) AdjNet -19.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.5 More → 0.194 (#350) AdjNet -20.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 81.9 More → 0.239 (#358) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 81.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 81.9 More → 0.271 (#356) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 81.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.208 (#356) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.213 (#354) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 186 | GP 3 More → 778 (#356) RD 186 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.175 (#348) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 58 - 99
2026-11-05 vs Howard Bison L 83 - 94
2026-11-10 @ Murray State Racers L 57 - 94
2026-11-13 @ Tarleton State Texans L 69 - 73
2026-11-16 @ Maryland Terrapins - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Missouri Tigers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Thomas Trey Thomas G 3 31.0 21.0 1.7 1.0 2.0 0.3 2.7 24.0 -0.7 -40 2 -20.0 -29.5 33.3 29.0 85.7 -1.77 42.0 39.6
Calvin Sirmans Calvin Sirmans G 4 24.2 9.5 2.2 6.0 2.2 0.2 3.2 5.2 11.8 -42 3 -14.0 -26.3 52.4 55.6 61.1 -0.91 65.7 64.3
Saxby Sunderland Saxby Sunderland G 4 17.8 6.8 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.0 5.0 3.2 -16 3 -5.3 -14.2 40.0 50.0 61.5 -0.38 52.5 47.5
Bobby Cannon Bobby Cannon F 4 15.8 6.0 1.8 0.2 0.5 0.2 1.2 4.2 3.2 -28 3 -9.3 -26.1 47.1 20.0 87.5 -1.17 58.5 50.0
Braylhan Thomas Braylhan Thomas G 4 15.8 6.0 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 1.5 6.0 1.0 -39 3 -13.0 -35.8 33.3 28.6 100.0 -2.15 46.6 41.7
Jahseem Felton Jahseem Felton G 4 20.5 5.0 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 6.5 -0.5 -54 3 -18.0 -36.5 30.8 30.8 0 -2.07 38.5 38.5
Christian Richardson Christian Richardson C 3 11.0 4.3 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 2.3 3.3 -30 3 -10.0 -39.5 71.4 0 60.0 -0.68 70.7 71.4
Jaylin Craine Jaylin Craine G 2 15.0 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 -25 2 -12.5 -33.9 37.5 50.0 0.0 -1.07 39.4 43.8
Ethan Griffin Ethan Griffin G 4 13.2 3.2 2.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 3.0 3.2 -29 3 -9.7 -44.4 50.0 100.0 0.0 -1.55 45.8 54.2
Josh Powell Josh Powell G 4 8.0 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.5 -32 3 -10.7 -41.0 37.5 40.0 50.0 -1.57 51.2 50.0
Ma'Kye Taylor Ma'Kye Taylor F 4 15.8 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.8 3.2 0.5 -38 3 -12.7 -36.0 30.8 16.7 50.0 -2.28 36.0 34.6
Adam Tokpah Adam Tokpah F 4 17.2 2.0 5.2 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.8 6.8 -20 3 -6.7 -15.4 66.7 0 50.0 -0.47 61.3 66.7
Jayan Walker Jayan Walker G 2 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.0 -5 2 -2.5 -15.9 50.0 0 0 -0.1 50.0 50.0
Nigel Thomas Nigel Thomas F 4 8.8 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.0 -26 3 -8.7 -34.9 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.64 51.0 40.0
Cameron Zeigler Cameron Zeigler G 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -1 1 -1.0 -11.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.18 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

241 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Thomas18% Thomas21% Sirmans33% Felton50% Thomas67% Thomas25% Felton33% Thomas25% Griffin33% Thomas33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Thomas24% Thomas29% Thomas50% Thomas50% Felton40% Taylor67% Cannon50% Thomas33% Thomas22% Thomas48%
Misses: who misses most here

Trey ThomasCalvin SirmansBraylhan ThomasJahseem FeltonBobby CannonEthan GriffinMa'Kye Taylor

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 33-62 53.2 66 Trey Thomas 18% (12 pts) Bobby Cannon 12% (8 pts) Trey Thomas 24% (7 misses) Braylhan Thomas 14% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 19-43 44.2 38 Trey Thomas 21% (8 pts) Braylhan Thomas 16% (6 pts) Trey Thomas 29% (7 misses) Ethan Griffin 12% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 6-22 27.3 12 Calvin Sirmans 33% (4 pts) Trey Thomas 33% (4 pts) Trey Thomas 50% (8 misses) Jaylin Craine 19% (3 misses)
Mid-range center 2-8 25.0 4 Jahseem Felton 50% (2 pts) Trey Thomas 50% (2 pts) Trey Thomas 50% (3 misses) Bobby Cannon 17% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 3-13 23.1 6 Trey Thomas 67% (4 pts) Bobby Cannon 33% (2 pts) Jahseem Felton 40% (4 misses) Saxby Sunderland 20% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 4-7 57.1 12 Braylhan Thomas 25% (3 pts) Calvin Sirmans 25% (3 pts) Ma'Kye Taylor 67% (2 misses) Jahseem Felton 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Jahseem Felton 33% (3 pts) Josh Powell 33% (3 pts) Bobby Cannon 50% (1 misses) Trey Thomas 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 12-30 40.0 36 Braylhan Thomas 25% (9 pts) Trey Thomas 25% (9 pts) Trey Thomas 33% (6 misses) Jahseem Felton 28% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-21 14.3 9 Ethan Griffin 33% (3 pts) Jahseem Felton 33% (3 pts) Braylhan Thomas 22% (4 misses) Trey Thomas 22% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 9-30 30.0 27 Trey Thomas 33% (9 pts) Calvin Sirmans 22% (6 pts) Trey Thomas 48% (10 misses) Bobby Cannon 10% (2 misses)