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Alcorn State Braves 6-13
@
2020-11-28
Kent State Golden Flashes 15-8

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Kent State G... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 5.9% (#323) 94.1% (#113) Kent St... -18.2 61-80
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 15.7% (#294) 84.3% (#102) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.6% (#338) 98.4% (#121) Kent St... -22.7 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 18.6% (#315) 81.4% (#95) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#330) 99.0% (#119) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#331) 99.0% (#121) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 12.2% (#336) 87.8% (#119) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Alcorn State Braves Kent State G...
Games 15 21
PPG 67.1 75.6
FG% 40.4% 44.2%
3PT% 30.7% 32.8%
FT% 72.6% 77.2%
RPG 30.9 39.1
APG 9.4 14.0
SPG 7.3 6.6
BPG 1.7 3.2
TOPG 14.9 13.4

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Alcorn State Braves Kent State G...
Adj. Off Eff 89.8 102.3
Adj. Def Eff 110.2 97.7
Adj. Net Eff -20.3 4.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Alcorn State Braves Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Troymain Crosby 18.9 5.5 0.6 1.0 0.0 29.5
Kurk Lee 9.9 2.2 3.9 0.5 0.0 28.0
Justin Thomas 4.1 2.6 2.9 0.9 0.3 25.7
Oddyst Walker 8.9 3.1 0.5 1.6 0.1 25.5
David Pierce 8.7 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 23.1

Kent State Golden Flashes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Michael Nuga 18.9 5.7 1.7 1.6 0.1 34.5
Giovanni Santiago 9.1 2.9 4.1 1.2 0.1 33.7
Danny Pippen 18.4 8.4 2.7 0.8 1.2 31.4
Malique Jacobs 10.0 4.8 3.7 2.0 0.7 29.0
Tervell Beck 12.2 5.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 27.6