🐻⬇️🏀

Prairie View A&M Panthers 16-5
@
2021-01-04
Alcorn State Braves 6-13

Model Predictions

Model Prairie View... Alcorn State Braves Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 74.1% (#170) 25.9% (#323) Prairie... -8.4 75-66
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 76.4% (#91) 23.6% (#294) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 83.8% (#253) 16.2% (#338) Prairie... -9.0 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 78.4% (#39) 21.6% (#315) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 87.3% (#211) 12.7% (#330) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 87.7% (#210) 12.3% (#331) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 66.2% (#245) 33.8% (#336) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Prairie View... Alcorn State Braves
Games 17 15
PPG 70.9 67.1
FG% 44.7% 40.4%
3PT% 31.7% 30.7%
FT% 64.7% 72.6%
RPG 34.9 30.9
APG 16.3 9.4
SPG 9.5 7.3
BPG 4.1 1.7
TOPG 13.8 14.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Prairie View... Alcorn State Braves
Adj. Off Eff 97.3 89.8
Adj. Def Eff 102.7 110.2
Adj. Net Eff -5.4 -20.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Prairie View A&M Panthers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Cam Mack 11.2 3.2 7.7 2.7 0.3 36.1
Jawaun Daniels 15.2 6.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 30.4
Jeremiah Gambrell 10.7 2.7 1.7 1.5 0.1 27.7
Faite Williams 8.8 2.8 3.2 1.1 0.1 25.8
Lenell Henry 7.3 6.2 1.1 0.5 1.2 23.2

Alcorn State Braves Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Troymain Crosby 18.9 5.5 0.6 1.0 0.0 29.5
Kurk Lee 9.9 2.2 3.9 0.5 0.0 28.0
Justin Thomas 4.1 2.6 2.9 0.9 0.3 25.7
Oddyst Walker 8.9 3.1 0.5 1.6 0.1 25.5
David Pierce 8.7 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 23.1