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Alcorn State Braves 6-13
@
2021-01-09
Jackson State Tigers 12-6

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Jackson State Tigers Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 12.6% (#323) 87.4% (#192) Jackson... -12.5 64-77
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 21.1% (#294) 78.9% (#153) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 13.9% (#338) 86.1% (#281) Jackson... -10.0 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 19.0% (#315) 81.0% (#100) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 15.6% (#330) 84.4% (#267) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 15.4% (#331) 84.6% (#268) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 27.3% (#336) 72.7% (#274) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Alcorn State Braves Jackson State Tigers
Games 15 13
PPG 67.1 67.1
FG% 40.4% 39.2%
3PT% 30.7% 33.6%
FT% 72.6% 69.8%
RPG 30.9 36.6
APG 9.4 11.0
SPG 7.3 8.0
BPG 1.7 3.5
TOPG 14.9 15.8

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Alcorn State Braves Jackson State Tigers
Adj. Off Eff 89.8 94.8
Adj. Def Eff 110.2 105.2
Adj. Net Eff -20.3 -10.5

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Alcorn State Braves Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Troymain Crosby 18.9 5.5 0.6 1.0 0.0 29.5
Kurk Lee 9.9 2.2 3.9 0.5 0.0 28.0
Justin Thomas 4.1 2.6 2.9 0.9 0.3 25.7
Oddyst Walker 8.9 3.1 0.5 1.6 0.1 25.5
David Pierce 8.7 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 23.1

Jackson State Tigers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jayveous McKinnis 12.5 13.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 32.6
Tristan Jarrett 21.1 5.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 31.8
Jonas James III 9.9 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 30.4
Cainan McClelland 6.1 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 27.5
Isaiah Williams 5.8 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 23.6