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Alabama State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Alabama State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Lewis Jackson

2014 Team Stats (3 games)

64.3
PPG
64.7
Opp
-0.3
Margin
42.5%
FG%
24.2%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
34.3
RPG
9.3
APG
13.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.8
Adj PPG
74.0
Adj Opp PPG
#301
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 897 (#247) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 941 (#224) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1018 (#144) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -10.3 (#305) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -13.3 (#330) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.441 (#204) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.3 More → 0.147 (#303) AdjNet -15.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.4 More → 0.144 (#303) AdjNet -15.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 74.0 More → 0.301 (#301) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 74.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 71.4 More → 0.369 (#298) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 71.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.283 (#283) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.296 (#286) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 29 More → 890 (#251) RD 118 | GP 29

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 63 - 80
2013-11-10 @ Bradley Braves L 59 - 85
2013-11-13 vs Mobile Rams W 88 - 58
2013-11-16 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 84 - 73
2013-11-18 vs Chicago State Cougars W 79 - 75
2013-12-07 @ Troy Trojans L 69 - 85
2013-12-16 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 59 - 52
2013-12-21 @ Tulane Green Wave L 66 - 84
2013-12-22 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 54 - 67
2013-12-28 vs Auburn Montgomery Senators W 78 - 51
2013-12-30 vs Thomas College Terriers W 93 - 68
2014-01-04 @ Grambling Tigers W 68 - 51
2014-01-06 @ Jackson State Tigers L 68 - 70
2014-01-11 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 93 - 62
2014-01-13 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 77 - 64
2014-01-18 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 67 - 58
2014-01-25 @ Alcorn State Braves W 58 - 54
2014-01-27 @ Southern Jaguars L 55 - 68
2014-02-01 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 76 - 63
2014-02-03 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 79 - 73
2014-02-08 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 75 - 70
2014-02-10 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 71 - 76
2014-02-15 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 65 - 68
2014-02-22 vs Alcorn State Braves W 92 - 86
2014-02-24 vs Southern Jaguars L 64 - 87
2014-03-01 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 66 - 86
2014-03-03 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers W 90 - 87
2014-03-06 vs Grambling Tigers W 68 - 66
2014-03-08 vs Jackson State Tigers W 67 - 63
2014-03-13 vs Alcorn State Braves W 64 - 51
2014-03-14 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 61 - 73
2014-03-18 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 49 - 71

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jamel Waters Jamel Waters G 24 35.4 14.0 3.2 5.6 1.8 0.0 2.7 3.1 19.0 15 12 1.2 1.7 36.5 15.4 65.3 -1.39 175.8 37.8
DeMarcus Robinson DeMarcus Robinson G 24 28.2 11.2 1.9 1.8 0.8 0.1 1.3 2.8 11.7 24 12 2.0 3.2 40.9 31.4 83.3 -1.11 182.6 49.2
Bobby Brown Bobby Brown G 20 23.6 9.6 5.2 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.6 14.3 26 10 2.6 5.2 46.9 50.0 71.4 0.29 251.6 60.9
Brandon Graham Brandon Graham F 24 26.5 9.0 5.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.5 13.3 37 12 3.1 5.2 35.1 0.0 70.6 1.59 242.8 35.1
Maurice Strong Maurice Strong F 24 27.3 8.6 6.3 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.8 1.3 14.4 26 12 2.2 4.0 59.4 0 60.9 -0.42 244.5 59.4
Luther Page Luther Page F 24 25.8 7.0 4.8 0.8 1.1 0.5 1.8 1.1 11.2 2 12 0.2 0.3 51.9 0 69.2 -1.5 218.5 51.9
Tony Armstrong Tony Armstrong F 18 15.8 5.9 3.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.7 7.7 -44 8 -5.5 -18.1 56.7 0 0.0 -5.73 166.9 56.7
Terrance LeFlore Terrance LeFlore G 24 16.7 4.6 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.1 0.9 6.3 -11 12 -0.9 -2.5 42.9 25.0 0 -3.1 261.9 47.6
Tony Jacob Tony Jacob - 1 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Devonte' Neal Devonte' Neal F 1 5.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Billy Ingram Billy Ingram G 18 9.8 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 3.0 -16 7 -2.3 -11.1 45.5 0.0 44.4 -3.48 137.0 45.5
DeAngelo Stewart DeAngelo Stewart G 8 8.0 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 3.6 - - - - 25.0 25.0 0 -2.38 106.2 31.2
Nick Davis Nick Davis F 4 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -1.45 200.0 150.0
Darius Scott Darius Scott F 6 2.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -3.48 200.0 0.0
Princeton Davis Princeton Davis G 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.98 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG