Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Graham * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Tony Armstrong * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Maurice Strong * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| DeMarcus Robinson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Luther Page * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamel Waters | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Billy Ingram | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeAngelo Stewart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Currington * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 21 | - |
| DeAngelo Priar * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Anthony McDonald * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Julius Francis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cordarius Samples * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jeffrey Simmons | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Washington | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Blake Ralling | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Vacha Vaughn | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ervin Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter