Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.2% | 86.8% | +10.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +22 (71-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Graham * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tony Armstrong * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Maurice Strong * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Luther Page | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| DeMarcus Robinson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| DeAngelo Stewart | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Billy Ingram | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Princeton Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darius Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Baxter * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Jabari Peters * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | - |
| James Thomas * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Kaheem Ransom * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Michael Holyfield * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - |
| Dakarai Henderson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Aurimas Majauskas | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Terrance Motley | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Will Bond | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Marquel McKinney | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nathaniel Mason | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mitch McCormick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle McLeroy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter