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2013-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.4 โœ“ (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“

Actual: Bradley Braves +26 (85-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamel Waters * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 2 0 5 14 20 -
Luther Page * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 0 4 10 17 -
DeMarcus Robinson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
Brandon Graham * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 10 -
Maurice Strong * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Tony Armstrong 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 0 5 14 -
Terrance LeFlore 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 3 0 1 8 12 -
Billy Ingram 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Bobby Brown 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Auston Barnes * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 12 19 -
Omari Grier * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 14 16 -
Tyshon Pickett * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 1 8 18 -
Walt Lemon * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 3 0 3 19 28 -
Jordan Prosser * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 8 15 -
Stefan Zecevic 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
Ka'Darryl Bell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 8 13 -
Anthony Fields 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Chris Blake 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
Xzavier Taylor 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Jordan Swopshire 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Nate Wells 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Mason Alwan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
Darrion Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter