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2014-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Alabama State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% +6.2 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“
Margin 26.6% 73.4% +5.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama State Hornets +6 (92-86). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Octavius Brown * 40 8-11 1-3 6-9 6 1 2 2 3 23 20 -
Marquis Vance * 40 6-9 2-3 9-13 8 1 0 0 1 23 22 -
Leantwan Luckett * 34 12-24 0-4 7-9 3 4 0 0 4 31 10 -
Devonte Hampton * 17 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 1 5 -
Stephan Raquil * 12 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
Marius Myles 21 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Anthony Evans 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 2 1 -
Twan Oakley 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Josh Nicholas 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamel Waters * 38 9-15 3-6 7-7 2 5 1 0 3 28 18 -
Maurice Strong * 35 5-9 0-0 2-4 6 1 2 2 2 12 12 -
DeMarcus Robinson * 29 5-8 3-5 4-6 2 4 1 1 1 17 16 -
Luther Page * 19 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 1 2 1 3 4 4 -
Brandon Graham * 18 3-6 0-1 2-2 4 0 2 0 1 8 7 -
Bobby Brown 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 7 8 -
Terrance LeFlore 16 1-3 0-1 5-5 1 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
Tony Armstrong 14 2-4 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
Billy Ingram 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter