Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | -5.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -23 (64-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Miller * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 39 | - |
| Calvin Godfrey * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Trelun Banks * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Yondarius Johnson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Javan Mitchell * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Tre Lynch | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Frank Snow | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Harrel | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Monroe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Strong * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16 | - |
| DeMarcus Robinson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Graham * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Luther Page * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tony Armstrong | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Billy Ingram | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter