Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | โ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | โ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | โ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +7 (59-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Link * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Tate Stensgaard * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Remy Roberts-Burnett * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Mohamed Conde * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Foster * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jabari Sandifer | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Ochereobia | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Garret Covington | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Mike Miklusak | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Strong * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 22 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Brandon Graham * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Luther Page * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| DeMarcus Robinson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
* = starter