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Akron

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Akron Zips
Program History
Coach: John Groce

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

87.9
PPG
74.0
Opp
+13.9
Margin
50.1%
FG%
37.7%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
37.7
RPG
18.3
APG
10.9
TO
71.0
Est. poss./game
83.2
Adj PPG
74.1
Adj Opp PPG
#67
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1248 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1242 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1160 (#12) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +9.2 (#78) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More → +6.3 (#93) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.836 (#19) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +16.0 More → 0.836 (#19) NetEff +16.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.6 More → 0.792 (#82) AdjNet +11.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.6 More → 0.793 (#82) AdjNet +11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 74.1 More → 0.696 (#67) AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 74.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.647 (#49) AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.754 (#55) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.745 (#53) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 33 More → 1278 (#28) RD 116 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs James Madison Dukes W 85 - 71
2025-11-08 vs Princeton Tigers W 104 - 69
2025-11-12 vs Penn State Shenango Nittany Lions W 109 - 51
2025-11-16 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 79 - 97
2025-11-21 vs Iona Gaels W 96 - 75
2025-11-23 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 97 - 59
2025-11-24 vs Yale Bulldogs L 94 - 97
2025-11-29 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 105 - 81
2025-12-03 vs Bucknell Bison W 97 - 77
2025-12-06 @ Tulane Green Wave W 88 - 71
2025-12-13 vs Murray State Racers L 100 - 115
2025-12-19 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 93 - 72
2025-12-29 vs Concord Mountain Lions W 115 - 64
2026-01-03 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 73 - 76
2026-01-06 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 82 - 69
2026-01-09 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 77 - 67
2026-01-13 vs Ball State Cardinals W 87 - 77
2026-01-17 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 104 - 89
2026-01-20 @ Buffalo Bulls W 82 - 63
2026-01-23 @ Ohio Bobcats W 86 - 65
2026-01-27 vs Toledo Rockets W 91 - 81
2026-01-30 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 69 - 52
2026-02-03 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 66 - 64
2026-02-07 @ Troy Trojans L 69 - 79
2026-02-13 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 99 - 92
2026-02-17 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 90 - 73
2026-02-20 @ Ball State Cardinals W 78 - 65
2026-02-24 vs Buffalo Bulls W 99 - 85
2026-02-27 @ Kent State Golden Flashes W 92 - 70
2026-03-03 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 77 - 64
2026-03-06 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 94 - 55
2026-03-12 vs Buffalo Bulls W 73 - 70
2026-03-13 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 75 - 68
2026-03-14 vs Toledo Rockets W 79 - 76
2026-03-20 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 71 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tavari Johnson Tavari Johnson G 35 31.9 19.7 2.9 5.0 1.2 0.3 2.5 14.3 12.4 279 29 9.6 12.3 50.6 37.3 87.0 -0.21 62.1 58.1
Amani Lyles Amani Lyles F 35 26.4 14.9 7.9 2.2 1.0 0.7 2.2 9.7 14.8 251 29 8.7 13.0 55.8 37.3 71.6 1.01 65.5 62.7
Shammah Scott Shammah Scott G 35 26.7 12.9 2.5 2.9 0.3 0.1 1.2 10.1 7.4 172 29 5.9 9.3 45.5 42.6 77.0 -2.58 59.5 57.3
Evan Mahaffey Evan Mahaffey F 35 28.5 10.2 5.6 3.4 1.7 0.8 1.3 7.5 12.9 314 29 10.8 15.6 57.8 30.4 57.6 4.03 61.0 60.5
Eric Mahaffey Eric Mahaffey G 34 21.9 7.8 5.6 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 5.4 10.0 229 28 8.2 15.5 53.0 39.1 76.3 4.23 63.0 59.7
Bowen Hardman Bowen Hardman G 35 18.4 7.6 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 6.0 3.2 138 29 4.8 10.6 40.3 40.3 83.3 0.55 60.3 58.5
Sharron Young Sharron Young G 34 19.1 7.2 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.8 5.8 6.1 188 28 6.7 14.6 40.3 33.3 82.1 1.39 55.7 51.0
Halil Barre Halil Barre F 18 6.4 3.1 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 1.2 4.2 19 11 1.7 11.3 76.2 0 77.4 -1.09 80.8 76.2
Zach Halligan Zach Halligan F 34 11.5 2.6 2.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.8 51 28 1.8 5.7 44.8 25.7 80.0 -4.84 57.1 51.5
Ognjen Stankovic Ognjen Stankovic F 18 6.6 2.3 1.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.7 0 11 0.0 0.0 53.6 20.0 58.8 -1.87 57.8 55.4
Marvin Musiime-Kamali Marvin Musiime-Kamali F 35 8.8 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 3.7 56 29 1.9 9.8 70.0 0 65.2 -0.64 70.8 70.0
Rich Brisco Rich Brisco F 10 2.5 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.0 0.8 0 6 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 0 -0.53 50.0 50.0
Conner Groce Conner Groce G 13 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3 7 0.4 10.7 30.8 28.6 50.0 -0.31 39.6 38.5
Cody Head Cody Head G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Josh Henderson Josh Henderson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tai Perkins Tai Perkins G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2227 located field-goal attempts in 35 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Lyles24% Johnson29% Johnson50% Johnson59% Johnson49% Hardman23% Lyles31% Scott24% Scott31% Hardman29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Johnson22% Mahaffey24% Scott37% Scott42% Johnson44% Scott18% Mahaffey18% Johnson22% Scott23% Hardman22%
Misses: who misses most here

Tavari JohnsonAmani LylesShammah ScottEvan MahaffeyBowen HardmanEric Mahaffey

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 453-611 74.1 906 Amani Lyles 24% (218 pts) Evan Mahaffey 19% (174 pts) Tavari Johnson 22% (35 misses) Amani Lyles 20% (32 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 212-440 48.2 424 Tavari Johnson 29% (122 pts) Evan Mahaffey 22% (92 pts) Evan Mahaffey 24% (54 misses) Tavari Johnson 20% (45 misses)
Mid-range left 22-60 36.7 44 Tavari Johnson 50% (22 pts) Shammah Scott 36% (16 pts) Shammah Scott 37% (14 misses) Tavari Johnson 34% (13 misses)
Mid-range center 17-29 58.6 34 Tavari Johnson 59% (20 pts) Shammah Scott 24% (8 pts) Shammah Scott 42% (5 misses) Tavari Johnson 33% (4 misses)
Mid-range right 35-89 39.3 70 Tavari Johnson 49% (34 pts) Shammah Scott 34% (24 pts) Tavari Johnson 44% (24 misses) Shammah Scott 30% (16 misses)
Left corner 3 44-99 44.4 132 Bowen Hardman 23% (30 pts) Eric Mahaffey 18% (24 pts) Shammah Scott 18% (10 misses) Tavari Johnson 18% (10 misses)
Right corner 3 26-75 34.7 78 Amani Lyles 31% (24 pts) Tavari Johnson 19% (15 pts) Eric Mahaffey 18% (9 misses) Tavari Johnson 18% (9 misses)
Above-break 3 left 127-322 39.4 381 Shammah Scott 24% (93 pts) Bowen Hardman 20% (75 pts) Tavari Johnson 22% (42 misses) Shammah Scott 20% (39 misses)
Above-break 3 center 72-203 35.5 216 Shammah Scott 31% (66 pts) Tavari Johnson 22% (48 pts) Shammah Scott 23% (30 misses) Tavari Johnson 23% (30 misses)
Above-break 3 right 107-299 35.8 321 Bowen Hardman 29% (93 pts) Shammah Scott 22% (72 pts) Bowen Hardman 22% (43 misses) Tavari Johnson 18% (35 misses)