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2025-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Akron Zips Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% -
Log Adjusted 37.7% 62.3% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Akron Zips -3 (94-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Townsend * 37 8-14 1-2 4-4 6 10 0 0 3 21 20 +0.7
I. Celiscar * 32 8-9 0-0 7-7 1 2 1 1 1 23 18 +6.7
C. Simmons * 29 3-5 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 7 10 +5.5
T. Mullin * 24 2-5 2-4 6-6 0 2 0 0 2 12 7 +1.1
S. Aletan * 19 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 0 8 13 +7.4
D. Arlington 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 6 6 -2.7
J. Brathwaite 18 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 2 +5.4
R. Fox 16 5-7 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 14 8 +1.9
C. Wallace 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +4.2
J. Sullivan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson * 35 16-22 2-7 1-1 0 8 1 1 2 35 21 +0.4
E. Mahaffey * 33 2-4 0-1 0-1 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
S. Scott * 32 9-12 5-6 2-3 1 1 1 0 2 25 14 -9.9
E. Mahaffey * 24 2-6 1-1 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 5 7 -
A. Lyles * 22 4-8 1-2 3-4 3 1 2 1 3 12 8 +1.6
S. Young 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 0 6 -3.8
B. Hardman 16 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 +3.0
M. Musiime-Kamali 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -10.2
O. Stankovic 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -1.2
H. Barre 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter