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Air Force

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Air Force Falcons, Air Force
Program History
Coach: Joe Scott

2023 Team Stats (17 games)

65.1
PPG
69.0
Opp
-3.0
Margin
45.3%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
28.6
RPG
14.9
APG
11.9
TO
69.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 796 (#690) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 970 (#398) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +18.0 (#275) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.283 (#98) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.7 More → 0.281 (#295) NetEff -8.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.7 More → 0.206 (#100) AdjNet -11.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.8 More → 0.204 (#100) AdjNet -11.8

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-11 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 75 - 71
2022-11-27 vs Montana Grizzlies W 59 - 56
2022-11-30 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 81 - 53
2022-12-03 @ Portland State Vikings L 64 - 68
2023-01-03 vs Utah State Aggies L 65 - 77
2023-01-10 @ Colorado State Rams W 85 - 74
2023-01-14 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 51 - 48
2023-01-17 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 82 - 74
2023-01-21 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 60 - 70
2023-01-24 @ San José State Spartans L 52 - 82
2023-01-27 @ New Mexico Lobos L 73 - 81
2023-01-31 vs Boise State Broncos L 52 - 59
2023-02-03 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 52 - 72
2023-02-07 vs Colorado State Rams L 53 - 69
2023-02-10 vs New Mexico Lobos W 89 - 77
2023-02-14 @ Utah State Aggies L 65 - 80
2023-02-17 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 75 - 69
2023-02-21 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 69 - 74
2023-02-24 @ UNLV Rebels L 53 - 54
2023-03-04 vs San José State Spartans L 61 - 63
2023-03-08 @ UNLV Rebels L 70 - 78

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Heidbreder J. Heidbreder G 21 34.5 15.2 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.0 1.5 9.7 10.2 34 3.1 4.0 48.3 38.0 83.3 0.95 74.9 56.9
R. Petraitis R. Petraitis - 21 30.7 11.2 6.7 3.0 1.0 0.8 1.8 6.2 14.7 - - - 44.6 28.1 71.2 - 67.1 48.1
Beau Becker Beau Becker - 19 24.5 8.1 3.9 1.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 7.5 6.2 - - - 40.6 33.8 60.0 - 51.5 50.0
C. Murphy C. Murphy - 20 17.6 7.8 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.2 4.8 5.4 - - - 54.7 37.0 94.4 - 75.3 60.0
Ethan Taylor Ethan Taylor - 20 28.9 7.2 2.9 3.0 0.9 0.2 2.0 5.0 7.3 - - - 39.4 37.1 72.7 0.05 69.3 51.0
C. Vander Zwaag C. Vander Zwaag - 21 19.6 5.9 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.9 - - - 49.3 40.5 100.0 - 83.0 60.1
C. Green C. Green - 16 16.1 5.6 2.1 1.2 0.4 1.2 1.2 2.9 6.2 - - - 48.9 12.5 71.4 - 83.7 50.0
Jeffrey Mills Jeffrey Mills - 18 21.6 3.9 2.0 2.6 0.3 0.1 1.0 2.7 5.3 - - - 33.3 16.7 40.0 0.05 67.7 36.5
M. McCreary M. McCreary - 19 14.3 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.7 58 5.3 5.7 45.0 40.0 81.2 1.37 73.3 57.5
N. Jackson N. Jackson - 7 13.1 2.3 2.6 0.9 0.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 42.9 0 66.7 - 83.0 42.9
L. Moerman L. Moerman C 1 25.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chase Beasley Chase Beasley - 5 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 125.0 100.0
Byron Brown Byron Brown - 4 2.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 - - - 0 0 0 0.45 0 0
J. Rayford J. Rayford G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
K. Boylan K. Boylan - 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 1.7 5.3 0 0 0 0.77 0 0
J. Murphy J. Murphy G 4 2.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.5 26 2.2 9.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.8 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG