Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.3% | 2.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.6% | 5.4% | -15.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Butler * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| D. Trammell * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Player #4431786 * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Player #4397371 * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Parrish | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Arop | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Player #4397237 | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Petraitis * | 40 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Heidbreder * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| B. Becker * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. McCreary * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Green | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Murphy | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Mills | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter