Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.6% | 5.4% | -15.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bairstow * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Player #4278395 * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Jones * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Shulga * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Dorius * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Ashworth | 26 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Z. Hamoda | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Taylor * | 38 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Heidbreder * | 36 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | - |
| J. Mills * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Green * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Petraitis | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| B. Becker | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Murphy | 10 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. McCreary | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter