Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 92.5% | 7.5% | -13.8 | ✗ (25.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +12 (89-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mashburn Jr. * | 37 | 13-24 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 9 | - |
| M. Udeze * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 31 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Allick * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Dent * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 30 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| S. Forsling | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Seck | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Fino-A-Laself | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heidbreder * | 39 | 11-13 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| R. Petraitis * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Mills * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| B. Becker * | 23 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Murphy | 23 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| C. Green | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. McCreary | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Beasley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Boylan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter