Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Whitney * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| J. Bannan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Vazquez * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Anderson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| L. Oke | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Nap | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Vander Zwaag * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| C. Green * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| J. Heidbreder * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| J. Mills * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| C. Murphy | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Petraitis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| B. Becker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. McCreary | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter