Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heidbreder * | 39 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Becker * | 34 | 3-15 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Petraitis * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| J. Mills * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Murphy | 31 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. McCreary | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Green | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Shulga * | 37 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 8-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 23 | - |
| S. Ashworth * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Bairstow * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Player #4278395 * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Dorius * | 16 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Z. Hamoda | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter