Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.4% | 8.6% | -13.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rice * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| T. Degenhart * | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Agbo * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| N. Smith * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Kuzmanovic | 26 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Young | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| L. Milner | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Whiting | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Petraitis * | 40 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| J. Mills * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Becker * | 34 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Heidbreder * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Green | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Murphy | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. McCreary | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter