Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +1 (54-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Becker * | 40 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| R. Petraitis * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Heidbreder * | 35 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Mills * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Murphy | 28 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. McCreary | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gilbert * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Player #4397449 * | 30 | 9-17 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Player #4593762 * | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| S. Nowell * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Webster * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson III | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. McCabe | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Hall | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| V. Iwuakor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter