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Xavier

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Xavier Musketeers, Xavier
Program History
Coach: Travis Steele

2019 Team Stats (7 games)

69.1
PPG
73.7
Opp
-4.6
Margin
43.1%
FG%
29.8%
3P%
68.1%
FT%
36.1
RPG
13.6
APG
12.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.9
Adj PPG
65.3
Adj Opp PPG
#66
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1119 (#87) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1041 (#109) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +8.5 (#65) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +8.9 (#57) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.562 (#139) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.5 More → 0.808 (#62) AdjNet +12.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.6 More → 0.811 (#63) AdjNet +12.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.666 (#66) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 65.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.603 (#67) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.723 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.712 (#60) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 35 More → 1193 (#50) RD 102 | GP 35

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 82 - 69
2018-11-10 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 91 - 85
2018-11-13 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 68 - 77
2018-11-19 vs Auburn Tigers L 79 - 88
2018-11-20 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 74 - 79
2018-11-21 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 83 - 74
2018-11-28 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks W 82 - 55
2018-12-01 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 73 - 63
2018-12-05 vs Ohio Bobcats W 82 - 61
2018-12-08 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 47 - 62
2018-12-15 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 95 - 77
2018-12-18 @ Missouri Tigers L 56 - 71
2018-12-21 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 69 - 55
2018-12-29 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 74 - 65
2019-01-02 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 70 - 80
2019-01-06 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 52 - 70
2019-01-09 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 81 - 75
2019-01-13 vs Butler Bulldogs W 70 - 69
2019-01-18 @ Villanova Wildcats L 75 - 85
2019-01-23 vs Providence Friars L 62 - 64
2019-01-26 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 82 - 87
2019-01-31 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 73 - 80
2019-02-03 @ Creighton Bluejays L 54 - 76
2019-02-09 vs DePaul Blue Demons L 62 - 74
2019-02-13 vs Creighton Bluejays W 64 - 61
2019-02-16 @ Providence Friars W 75 - 61
2019-02-20 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 70 - 69
2019-02-24 vs Villanova Wildcats W 66 - 54
2019-02-28 @ St. John's Red Storm W 84 - 73
2019-03-05 @ Butler Bulldogs L 66 - 71
2019-03-09 vs St. John's Red Storm W 81 - 68
2019-03-14 vs Creighton Bluejays W 63 - 61
2019-03-15 @ Villanova Wildcats L 67 - 71
2019-03-20 vs Toledo Rockets W 78 - 64
2019-03-24 @ Texas Longhorns L 76 - 78

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Naji Marshall Naji Marshall - 28 36.4 15.1 6.8 3.4 1.1 0.2 3.4 5.4 17.9 6 29 0.2 0.2 37.7 23.5 69.0 0.64 124.8 43.0
Paul Scruggs Paul Scruggs G 30 32.6 12.1 4.8 3.4 1.2 0.5 2.9 3.2 16.0 29 31 0.9 1.2 52.1 47.2 75.0 0.69 160.2 60.9
Quentin Goodin Quentin Goodin G 27 35.4 11.1 3.2 4.9 1.3 0.2 2.9 3.4 14.4 -9 28 -0.3 -0.4 30.1 23.5 62.5 -0.65 145.3 34.4
Tyrique Jones Tyrique Jones F 29 24.3 11.0 7.1 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.7 2.8 15.9 -35 30 -1.2 -2.0 63.0 0 60.9 -1.71 157.5 63.0
Zach Hankins Zach Hankins F 30 22.6 10.4 5.4 1.1 0.4 1.7 1.0 2.5 15.4 80 31 2.6 5.0 64.5 0 51.9 1.6 177.5 64.5
Ryan Welage Ryan Welage F 30 18.9 6.7 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.1 7.2 86 31 2.8 6.6 46.8 46.8 50.0 3.85 159.8 64.5
Kyle Castlin Kyle Castlin G 30 21.8 4.2 3.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.3 7.0 66 31 2.1 4.1 38.5 38.9 87.5 3.27 148.2 47.4
Elias Harden Elias Harden F 26 11.1 2.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.0 2.3 -7 27 -0.3 -0.9 32.0 22.2 66.7 -0.07 124.8 40.0
Keonte Kennedy Keonte Kennedy - 3 10.7 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.0 40 16 2.5 7.1 50.0 50.0 0 0.07 62.5 62.5
Dontarius James Dontarius James F 7 3.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 0.0
Leighton Schrand Leighton Schrand G 4 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG