Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -9 (74-83). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Paul Scruggs * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Quentin Goodin * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Tyrique Jones * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Castlin * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Keonte Kennedy | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Elias Harden | 19 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Zach Hankins | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Welage | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Frazier * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Jordan * | 30 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 24 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Giorgi Bezhanishvili * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alan Griffin * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Da'Monte Williams | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Andres Feliz | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Adonis De La Rosa | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kipper Nichols | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tevian Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter