Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +21 (82-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Carter * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Teyvion Kirk * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Doug Taylor * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Antonio Cowart * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jason Preston * | 24 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ben Vander Plas | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Gavin Block | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Connor Murrell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mason McMurray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jarrell Reeves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Torey James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Castlin * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Paul Scruggs * | 31 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Tyrique Jones * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Welage * | 27 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Zach Hankins | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Elias Harden | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dontarius James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Leighton Schrand | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter